By Leslie Masonson
This booklet is superb. it's far better than so much books on buying and selling from a pragmatic viewpoint for the typical Investor and the pro. less complicated frequently is best in terms of buying and selling platforms, in the event that they paintings. whilst I first learn the e-book i presumed of it as a primer. i've got now learn it greater than as soon as. The e-book isn't the finish all say concerned with industry Timing. it may be checked out as a very good publication by itself and a Reference e-book for people that are looking to pass farther on their lonesome in exploring how you can maintain the cash you have got and upload in your resources in a reduce danger demeanour.
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During 2002, there were numerous stories of individual investors whose portfolios dropped by 50 percent or more, and they had to go back to work or postpone their retirements. ” Diversification through allocation of investments in a portfolio with say 60 percent stocks, and 40 percent bonds, can help reduce market risk. Overall you have less risk than the investor who is fully invested in stocks. 32 MARKET-TIMING BASICS But the optimum scenario is to be 100 percent in stocks in bull markets to capture the highest returns for your portfolio.
The most inaccurate predictions were for the Nasdaq, as the actual close compared to the consensus forecast was off by 54 percent in 2000, 84 percent in 2001, and 67 percent in 2002. In conclusion, the “best and the brightest” appeared to be not so bright or right. To be fair, their actual stock picks for their clients could have been quite different, and perhaps closer to the mark. For the sake of their clients, I hope this is so. 6% Percent Diff. 9% Percent Diff. 2500 H 1065 L 1703 C 2236 C 2626 H 1500 L 3583 C 4300 H 1800 L 5000 H 2000 L 3805 C Nasdaq Comp.
38 by year-end 2002. And hundreds of Internet stocks and technology stocks lost 90 percent or more of their value in just three years. Even the stable stocks and growth stocks suffered substantial damage; witness what happened in the banking sector, Internet sector, automobile sector, and chemicals. To look at the double speak of the mutual managers you only need to know that equity mutual fund portfolio turnover was around 15 percent in the 1950s through 1964, rose to 48 percent in the early 1970s, to 75 percent in 1983, 111 percent in 1987, dropped back to 74 percent in 1993–1994, and rose again to 90 percent in 2000 and 111 28 MARKET-TIMING BASICS percent in June 2002.